Appearing with Laura Ingraham on Fox News, Real Clear Politics co-founder Tom Bevan discussed how swing state polls could be masking Trump’s support.
Laura asked Tom “Are people afraid to say what they think? Are the polls overstating support for Democrats again?’ What is your sense given what we’re seeing now?”
Bevan responded “Well it’s hard to say. I talked to Robert Cahaly who’s a pollster for The Trafalgar Group. He released a poll in Michigan not too long ago and he said he’s seeing that shy Trump effect, the official name is social desirability bias and it’s when respondents don’t want to tell posters exactly what they think. He’s seeing that, he said more this time around than last time around.”
Bevan continued “He said he’s also finding some Trump supporters who are hidden in the undecided vote. They just will tell pollsters that they’re undecided even when they’re really not. When you push them and say if the election were today, who would you vote for and they say well they’re supporting Trump.”