A Rasmussen poll found far more likely voters believes President Trump will be re-elected than successfully impeached.
Per Rasmussen, Voters think President Trump has more to lose in the growing Ukraine controversy than leading Democratic presidential hopeful Joe Biden, but they still see Trump’s reelection as a surer shot than impeachment.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters think Trump is more likely than Biden to be found guilty of breaking the law in his dealings with Ukrainian officials. Thirty-four percent (34%) say Biden is more likely to be the culprit. Six percent (6%) believe both men are likely to be found guilty of criminal wrongdoing. Eight percent (8%) say neither is likely to be found guilty. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
But 46% think it’s more likely that Trump will be reelected in 2020 than defeated by the Democratic nominee or impeached, unchanged from late July.
Twenty-eight percent (28%) see a win by the Democrats’ candidate as more likely, down from 33% two months ago. Seventeen percent (17%) believe Trump is likely to be impeached before serving his full term in office, up from 11% in the last survey but down from a high of 29% when Rasmussen Reports first asked this question in late December 2017.
The survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted September 25-26, reveals that voters also say Trump is far more likely to defeat his Democrat opponent – if his fate is left up to the 2020 national election.
“Which is more likely – that President Trump will be reelected in 2020, that he will be defeated by the Democratic nominee in 2020 or that he will be impeached before serving his full term in office?”
- Reelected: 46%, unchanged from July
- Defeated: 28%, down from 33% in July
- Impeached: 17%, up from 11% in July (down from high of 29% in Dec. 2017)
Far more unaffiliated voters say it’s most likely that Trump will be reelected (43%) than think impeachment (17%) is the most likely outcome.
Unsurprisingly, four of five Republicans (80%) think Trump is more likely to be reelected next year, compared to 19% of Democrats and, conversely, 28% of Democrats and a mere 6% of GOP voters think impeachment is more likely.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 25-26, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
This article was written by the staff of TheConservativeOpinion.com