POLL: Trump and Biden neck and neck in theoretical 2024 Matchup

Former President Trump and Current President Biden are neck and neck in a theoretical 2024 matchup conducted by Grinnell College National Poll.

The poll found 40% of likely voters would vote for Biden, 40% would choose Trump, and 14% said they would pick another candidate.

The report finds, in presidential politics, Joe Biden’s approval ratings overall and in three specific areas of focus are all under 50%.

When asked whether they approve of the job President Biden is doing, only 37% approve (50% disapprove). Disapproval is highest when it comes to his handling of immigration (27% approve; 58% disapprove) and the economy (36% approve; 53% disapprove). Additionally, only 36% of Americans believe the economy will be in a stronger position 12 months from now – an 11-point drop from March 2021.

“Right now, the math is simple: a majority of Americans believe the economy will be doing worse in 12 months than it is today, and that pessimism is keeping President Biden’s approval ratings in the basement,” said Grinnell College National Poll Director Peter Hanson.

The poll finds Biden’s support among independent voters has collapsed.

“In 2020 exit polling, President Biden won independent voters by a 54% to 41% margin,” said J. Ann Selzer of Selzer & Company. “If the election were held today, our poll shows former President Trump winning that group 45% to 28%. It is a massive shift in a demographic that helped carry Biden to victory less than two years ago.”