A new report from polling analytics company FiveThirtyEight says “But if Trump does run, one thing is clear: The Republican nomination would likely be his for the taking. He remains extremely popular among Republicans. ”
The report cites multiple recent polls.
“A Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 15-18 found Trump has an 86 percent favorable rating and just a 10 percent unfavorable rating among Republican adults.”
In addition “a Morning Consult/Politico survey from Oct. 8-11 found that 47 percent of Republican voters would vote for Trump; no other candidate was above 13 percent.”
The report also cited “a HarrisX/The Hill poll” that “similarly found that Republican registered voters supported a third consecutive Trump candidacy 77 percent to 23 percent, including 52 percent who “strongly” supported it. ”
FiveThirtyEight has been tracking Biden’s approval which has been on a clear downward trajectory.
RealClearPolitics aggregate Biden Approval rate shows a similar trajectory.