Without question, the vast majority of Republican Senators are expected to vote to acquit President Trump and the vast majority of Democrat Senators are expected to vote for conviction.
An analysis by Politico named 6 Senators who might vote against their party on Trump conviction.
On the Republicans side, these are Senators
Susan Collins (Maine)
Lisa Murkowski (Alaska)
Mitt Romney (Utah)
Politico also named 3 Democrat Senators
Doug Jones (Alabama)
Jo Manchin (W. Virginia)
Krysten Sinema (Arizona)
Angus King, the only other Senator mention in the maybe category, is an Independent.
The House has impeached Donald Trump. But a two-thirds vote in the Senate is required to convict the president and remove him from office — something that’s never happened before in U.S. history. POLITICO rated the likelihood of each senator voting for or against Trump’s conviction.
If all Democrats vote for conviction, at least 20 Republicans also must support unseating the president. So far, no Republicans have signaled they’d be an ‘aye.’
POLITICO studied all 100 senators’ positions. Most Democrats have been supportive of the House-passed articles of impeachment, while Republicans are largely lining up behind Trump. In fact, the number of GOP senators seen as hard ‘no’ votes is already large enough to indicate the president would be acquitted of the charges. But it’s not over yet. Anyone considering defection is unlikely to say so in public until much closer to voting to avoid getting attacked by the president and his allies.
Plenty more than just these six Republicans would need to vote yes for Trump to be removed from office. But their voices — a mix of the party’s most independent and most vulnerable — are important indicators of the outcome for any impeachment trial. Anything these senators say as the trial approaches will be closely scrutinized for insights into whether the GOP views the House impeachment as a serious threat to the president — and their own party’s future.
See the complete analysis here.