NY Times Poll: Most Swing State Democrats Who Voted for Trump in 2016 Will Do It Again

Most Democrats in swing states who voted for President Trump in 2016 do not regret their decision and plan to vote for him again, according to a new NY Times / Siena poll.

In addition, of these Democrats who voted for Trump, then Democrats in the 2018 election, 2/3rds will return to Trump in 2020.

The NY Times piece offers some specific case studies on Trump Democrats.

From NY Times

Many of the voters who said they voted Democratic but now intended to vote for Mr. Trump offered explanations that reflect longstanding theories about why the party out of power tends to excel in midterms.

Michelle Bassaro, 61, is a Trump supporter, but in the midterm election, she voted for the Democrat in her district to balance the administration’s power. She said she had voted for Republicans when Democrats were in the White House for the same reason, consistent with research that shows that some people intentionally vote for divided government.

Another reason was local: The Democrat promised to bring more jobs to her area, Nanty Glo, Pa. (The name comes from a Welsh phrase that means “streams of coal,” but its coal jobs have disappeared.)

Voters often think differently about state and national issues. Some said they had voted for their local Democrat in the midterms because the person had served well for a long time, or because the candidate’s policies would directly help their community. But presidential politics were another story, they said. Many of the white working-class voters in the Rust Belt who supported the president in 2016 were traditionally Democratic voters who backed President Obama in 2012 and even continued to vote Democratic down-ballot in 2016. Democrats generally held on to these voters in 2018, but the reasons many of them voted for Mr. Trump, like his promises on immigration or the economy, could still be relevant.

Michael Townsend, 38, a high school-educated construction worker in Dunmore, Pa., was a lifelong Democrat — until he voted for Mr. Trump.

“In the last couple years, the Democrats had kind of been losing the work, and I thought Trump might get us that work,” he said. “And to be honest, I’ve been in construction 21 years and the last two years were the best years I’ve ever had.”

Per Breitbart, a New York Times poll shows that many of the Democrats who voted for Trump in 2016 but supported their party in the midterm elections, will return to Trump in 2020.

The New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll questioned a narrow portion of Democrats who supported Trump in 2016 in swing states and plan to vote for him again — even though some supported Democrats in the midterms.

According to the Times, nearly two-thirds of voters in six battleground states who supported Trump in 2016 — but voted for Democratic congressional candidates in 2018 — say they intend to back the president again in 2020.

The Times wrote:

Many of the white working-class voters in the Rust Belt who supported the president in 2016 were traditionally Democratic voters who backed President Obama in 2012 and even continued to vote Democratic down-ballot in 2016. Democrats generally held on to these voters in 2018, but the reasons many of them voted for Mr. Trump, like his promises on immigration or the economy, could still be relevant.

The Times cited several Democrat voters in their story who voiced their support for Trump’s policies, despite their critical views about his character.

Trump is also winning a small portion of former Hillary Clinton voters, according to the poll.

The swing state survey found that seven percent of voters who supported Clinton for president in 2016 now approve of the president’s performance in office.

The Times polled 3,766 Registered Voters from Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin in October.