A new poll from Fox News has Joe Biden leading President Trump in the key state of Michigan by 8%.
Biden gets 49% to Trump’s 41%, a 8 point margin.
The same poll finds a ticket of Biden-Whitmer would defeat Trump and Pence by a margin of 49% to 43%.
Another notable finding of the Fox News poll is Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer has higher favorable ratings than Joe Biden and Donald Trump.
Per Fox News, Trump is preferred among white men (+17 points), white evangelical Christians (+51), and whites without a college degree (+8). In 2016, he won whites without a degree by 31 points.
The former vice president owes his lead to women (+20 points), non-whites (+63), and voters over age 65 (+19).
Party loyalty also helps Biden, as 91 percent of Democrats back him compared to 85 percent of Republicans supporting Trump.
But likeability could be the key. By a 10-point margin, more have a favorable (53 percent) than unfavorable (43 percent) opinion of Biden. Views of Trump are net negative by 8 points (44 favorable, 52 unfavorable).
In 2016, both candidates had net negative favorable ratings among Michigan voters — Hillary Clinton by a 14-point margin and Trump by 20.
Trump won Michigan by 10,704 votes, less than a quarter of a percentage point.
Currently, 47 percent approve of the job he is doing as president and 51 percent disapprove.
When Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer is included as Biden’s vice presidential running mate, the race narrows a touch to a 6-point advantage against Trump and Vice President Mike Pence (49-43 percent, just within the error margin).
Whitmer is popular: 63 percent of voters approve of her job performance and 58 percent have a positive opinion of her personally.