Nate Silver’s 538 Model has Democrats Warnock, Ossoff Ahead in Georgia Runoff Races

Nate Silver’s 538 model has Democrats Warnock and Ossoff ahead of their Republican opponents in the Georgia Senate runoff races.

Silver tweeted:

Ossoff 48.7
Purdue 47.9

Warnock 49.2
Loeffler 47.0

He added “These are just polling averages, FYI. We are not issuing probabilistic forecasts of the Georgia runoffs, not for any philosophical reason—they’ll be back in 2022/24—but because our full-fledged Congressional model isn’t really designed to handle one-off races like these.”