A new Fox News poll has former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Trump by a large 8% margin in the key swing state of Pennsylvania.
Per Fox News, Trump received 48 percent of the vote in 2016 and won Pennsylvania by less than one percentage point. It was the first time a Republican presidential candidate had won the state since 1988. Currently, 47 percent approve of the job he is doing as president and 51 percent disapprove.
Thirteen percent of voters who approve of Trump’s job performance are not currently supporting his re-election, and either back Biden (7 percent), won’t vote (1 percent), or are undecided (5 percent). That makes his 42 percent share of the vote lower than his 47 percent approval rating.
“This segment of voters who approve of the job Trump is doing but don’t currently back him against Biden is interesting,” says Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, whose firm conducts the Fox News Poll with Republican Daron Shaw.
“If voters approve of his leadership style but are questioning if it is right for the future, holding onto Pennsylvania will be challenging for Trump. But if they like Trump personally and will line back up behind him in November, the race could be very close.”
Biden’s advantage comes from large leads among women (+21 points), Millennials (+24), and suburban women (+30).
Those extremely interested in the election pick Biden over Trump by 10 points. Half of both Democrats (49 percent) and Republicans (51 percent) are extremely interested.
Meanwhile, Biden has a net positive favorable rating by 9 points (52 favorable, 43 unfavorable), while Trump is underwater by 9 points (44 favorable, 53 unfavorable).
Nearly half, 45 percent, have a “strongly” negative opinion of Trump, while 30 percent say the same for Biden.