Election expert with perfect record since 1984 predicts Biden will win over Trump

Per Yahoo, Historian Allan Lichtman, who works as a professor at American University, has correctly predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1984.

Mr Lichtman announced his latest prediction in a video with The New York Times, revealing he thought presumptive Democratic candidate Joe Biden would win come November.

The predictive method Mr Lichtman uses, which he developed in 1980, has predicted the presidential win of Ronald Reagan in 1984 all the way to Donald Trump’s victory in 2016. Instead of using indicators employed by other political pundits, Mr Lichtman developed 13 different categories.

“The pollsters and the pundits cover elections as though they were horse races,” Mr Lichtman said in The New York Times‘ video. “But history tells us voters are not fooled by the tricks of the campaign. Voters vote pragmatically according to how well the party holding the White House has governed the country.”

His 13 categories, dubbed the “Keys to the White House”, has more to do with how the incumbent party has operated within the White House instead of the nominees in the current race.

Each category is presented with a true-false answer about the White House and incumbent president. If the incumbent gets more than statements that are false, it means the challenger – this time being Mr Biden – will win.

The keys suggested for this election that Mr Biden will take the presidency, Mr Lichtman said.

You can watch the video here.