A new 2020 Arizona state poll by OH Predictive Insights has President Trump topping every Democrat candidate in the key swing state.
Trump tops Biden 46-44
Trump tops Sanders 47-34
Trump tops Warren 47-41
Trump tops Buttigieg 45-43
Democrats believe Arizona, which voted for Trump in 2016 is very much “in play” in 2020 due to it’s large and growing Latino population and are ramping up efforts in the battleground state.
Their optimism has been further buoyed by Democrat Krysten Sinema’s 2018 midterm Senate victory.
Per KSL, for Democrats, turning Arizona blue would be a historic feat. The last time Arizona elected a Democrat for president was in 1996, when Bill Clinton won his second term. Before that, Harry S. Truman was the previous Democrat to carry Arizona. President Barack Obama lost Arizona by 9 percentage points and 8.5 points in his two campaigns.
Arizona Democratic Party chairwoman Alexis Tamerón said the Clinton campaign and Democratic National Committee made a six-figure investment in August. Clinton’s campaign invested $2 million in Arizona in October and dispatched Chelsea Clinton, Sen. Bernie Sanders and first lady Michelle Obama to the state. Sen. Tim Kaine, Clinton’s running mate, will deliver a speech in Phoenix on Thursday entirely in Spanish. He also plans on stumping in Tucson.
About two-thirds of registered Latino voters identify as Democrats, according to the Pew Research Center. Obama won 71 percent of the Latino vote in 2012.
But turnout has been disappointing for political parties hoping to draw the Latino vote in Arizona because they have been reluctant to register to vote.
Only 52 percent of Latinos eligible to vote in Arizona in 2012 actually registered, according to Latino Decisions. Those who were registered showed up in large numbers, with 78 percent of registered Latinos having cast a ballot. In all, 40 percent of eligible Latino voters cast a ballot that year.
This article first appeared on TheConservativeOpinion.com