Two Sunday polls which are likely to be the final polls leading up to the Iowa caucus Monday both look good for Bernie Sanders and bad for JOe Biden.
In the Emerson Poll, Sanders leads with 28, Biden 21, Buttigieg in 3rd with 15.
In the DFP/Civiqs Poll, Sanders leads with 28, Warren, 21, Biden 15, Buttigieg 15
The over RCP polling averages give Sanders a 4% edge overall.
However, it’s worth noting 2 fairly recent Iowa polls – Monmouth and USA Today, had Biden ahead.
Iowa is notoriously hard to predict and anything is possible.
Newsweek reports Senator Bernie Sanders continued his lead as the frontrunner for Iowa Democrats by seven points in a new poll released on the eve of the state’s caucuses.
The latest Emerson College poll, released on Sunday evening, shows Sanders leading the narrowing 2020 Democratic primary field with 28 percent of support from respondents in Iowa. Former Vice President Joe Biden followed behind in second place with support from 21 percent of likely caucusgoers, while former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Senator Elizabeth Warren trailed behind in third and fourth, with 15 and 14 percent respectively.
Senator Amy Klobuchar, who was the only other candidate in double digits, came in fifth with 11 percent. The survey, conducted between January 30 and February 2, polled 853 Iowans who were likely to participate in the state’s Democratic caucuses. The margin of error is roughly 3.3 percentage points.
Newsweek reached out to Sanders’ campaign for comment but did not receive a response in time for publication.
Although the results showed Sanders dip slightly by two points from last week’s figures, other recent polls have similarly predicted that the senator is likely to take out Iowa. A CBS News poll, released earlier today, had Sanders and Biden tied at 25 percent for first choice among likely caucusgoers.
A new Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald/NBC10 Boston poll released hours before the Iowa caucuses showed the 2020 candidate also leading his Democratic rivals in New Hampshire by seven points, with 31 percent of support among likely Democratic voters. Biden and Warren came in second and third in New Hampshire, garnering 25 and 17 percent respectively.
If the Iowa polls correctly predict Sanders’ win on Monday night, the senator will head into New Hampshire with enormous momentum for a two-part victory. “If he should win in both states, he would be the first Democrat that was not an incumbent president to do so since John Kerry in 2004,” said Christina Cliff, assistant professor of political science at Franklin Pierce University.
Sanders told Iowan supporters on Sunday night that tomorrow’s caucuses will mark the “beginning of the end for Donald Trump.” While hosting a Super Bowl watch party at a Des Moines bar, Sanders expressed gratitude to his base for their staunch dedication to his presidential campaign.