A new Emerson poll has President Trump is good standing in head to head general election matchups.
President Trump is tied with Biden and Warren 50-50.
Trump trails Biden by 2 and is up by Buttigieg by 2.
In the 2016 election, Hillary Clinton topped Trump by 2% in the national popular vote but President Trump won the electoral vote by a large margin.
Thus, anything close to a tie in the popular vote would likely lead to Trump reelection.
Emerson has the Democratic Presidential nomination down to a 2 person race betwen Biden and Bernie with Biden with a slight +3 lead.
Since the last Emerson College national poll in December, Biden has lost 2 points, Warren gained 1 point, Buttigieg lost 2 points, and Gabbard lost 3 points. Sanders and Yang each gained 2 points and Bloomberg picked up 3.
Sanders continues to dominate among young people (ages 18-29), with 47% of this group’s support. Andrew Yang also draws most of his support from the same group, with 20% of these voters. Biden has the support of 14% of this group, with Warren at 10%. Sanders remains strong among 30-49 year-olds with 37%, followed by Biden with 24% and Warren with 11%. Biden picks up support among 50-64 year-olds, with 40% of that group’s support. Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg trail him with 16%, 13%, and 12%, respectively. Biden’s plurality is even stronger among the oldest group of voters, with the support of 47% of those over 65. Warren has 14% of this group’s support, followed by Michael Bloomberg with 12% and Sanders with 10%.
Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson College Polling points out: “If Bloomberg continues to gain support it could come at Biden’s expense, which could create a pathway for Sanders to the nomination. On the other hand, Yang is pulling votes away from Sanders with younger voters and this is a very interesting age dynamic.”