According to Clare Malone of FiveThirtyEight, Bernie Sanders finished 1st and Joe Biden in 4th in highly anticipated CNN/Des Moines Register Iowa poll that was not released.
Ironically, rampant speculation on Twitter suggested the conspiracy theory that a poll showing a poor standing for Biden and strong showing for Bernie may have weighed on the decision to ax the poll.
Well, FiveThirtyEight reportedly confirmed the final results.
It would’ve been good news for Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who led the pack with 22 percent and 18 percent, respectively. That falls in line with an earlier report that media outlets increased their coverage of Warren after glimpsing the numbers.
It was a particularly rough poll for former Vice President Joe Biden, who fell all the way to fourth, despite hovering near the top of the leaderboard for months. Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg came in third.
We can confirm the final results of the unreleased Iowa Poll:
— Clare Malone (@ClareMalone) February 4, 2020
Meanwhile, per TCO, Widespread reports from the Iowa ground, entrance polling, and overall sentiment indicate Vice President Biden likely did poorly in Iowa.
Justin Buoen, campaign manager for Amy Klobuchar tweeted:
Big night in Iowa. With the numbers we’ve seen internally and publicly, we’re running even or ahead of Vice President Biden. Wheels up to New Hampshire!
If this were to be accurate and Klobuchar were to actually do better than Biden in Iowa, he would be likely looking at a catastrophic 5th place finish – with Bernie, Buttigieg, Warren and Klobuchar all coming in ahead of him.
The extremely limited results so far indeed have Klobuchar slightly ahead of Biden.
Townhall reports there are brutal reports coming out of Iowa that former Vice President Joe Biden is struggling mightily in precincts where he should have a shot at viability. The set-up of this contest can be rather rambunctious.
People gather in their respective locations and pray that their candidate can clinch at least 15 percent to be declared viable to move into the next phase.
David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report noted that it’s possible Biden won’t finish in the top three, a crushing blow to a candidate seen as a heavyweight in the Democratic Party and the person best suited to take on Donald Trump in November.
Widespread reports of Joe Biden barely/not viable in types of precincts he should be to have any type of chance. Having a hard time seeing him in top three…long way to go.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) February 4, 2020
— Christian Martinez (@C_RMartinez) February 4, 2020
Biden is officially not viable they have 36 people. pic.twitter.com/1m2ORr05T2
— Eliza Collins (@elizacollins1) February 4, 2020
— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) February 4, 2020
NEW: Joe Biden plummets among younger voters, per preliminary entrance polls — with single-digit support among Iowa caucus-goers younger than 45. https://t.co/Gwnp8XZKVv
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) February 4, 2020